iPhone 6 and is Apple stock value at peak? (Giri Devanur)

Being an avid user of Apple and all of its products since 1994 (except Apple TV), I have 3 major problems with iPhone6. If Steve jobs was alive, may be he would have never released this phone to market.

1. The Camera: iPhone has a camera which protrudes out. Ouch!!! So beautify designed product, except for one damn thing which sticks out. How did Mr. Ive allow such an obvious flaw?

iphone6 coming out

2. The grip: This phone has the smoothest edges. Faaaar too smooth. You are bound to drop it. Its so curvy and smooth, I hated when it dropped. Yes I did drop it a few times!!

3. The fragile glass: The smooth edges leads to obvious drop which breaks the glass. I know, it breaks some hearts too. Couldn’t they have made a little stronger and more durable glass. And its very expensive to fix it. Watch out.

OK enough of complaining…today AAPL stock is at $117 and approximately $682 billion (yes…$682,000,000,000). This still a very low valuation compared to its industry peers.  P/E is still 15.79. Where as Google (GOOG) has a valuation of $354B valuation and P/E of 25. So, apple has a lot more to grow.

Will it touch a $1,000,000,000,000 (1Trillion $) valuation…probably.

Whats the next break through innovation? Apple pay or Apple watch or Apple TV(with a TV screes..not just a box, which even I will buy).

Or has the stock peaked? Its a trillion dollar question.

—Giri Devanur

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Quotes for 2015

The start of the New Year is a good time to reflect on the year past and to make a new start, whether in your career, your relationships or your health. Post these quotes in areas where you can see them as the year starts and keep them in mind throughout the year to help inspire you to make next year the best ever.


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Winners Dream – A fantastic book

I finished reading SAP CEO Bill McDermott’s book  Winners Dream: A Journey from Corner Store to Corner Office

I enjoyed the reading because its simple, straight forward and touches the heart. There is no complicated jargon, no mega theories  and no big company CEO  speak.

It makes you feel you are talking to a friend in a soft tone. Just sharing some wonderful experiences.

It boosts readers confidence that if you stay focused, work hard and put customers interest always in your heart, success will come. That has been Bill’s life. He gives no-nonsense account of how to build a great team which eventually brings success.

A brilliant book!!

Bill McDermott / Giri Devanur

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Here’s a different view on Mars Mission


But India’s MOM was more a defence mission than simple space odyssey. Right? Imagine you can launch a rocket deep into space and change direction to land/blast at a specific target. Remember star wars? Who needs ICBMs and other missiles?


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Hard Thing About Hard Things

Finished reading “Hard Thing About Hard Things” by Ben Horowitz. I couldn’t keep it down till I finished reading!!

This is a “must read” book for all leaders, CEOs, CxOs and would-be entrepreneurs. With a great mix of funny quotes and rap snippets, he has narrated the story of how he built his companies and what it really takes to build a great company.

Far better than the run of the mill management books that we read on a regular basis.

Giri Devanur & Ben Horowitz

Giri Devanur & Ben Horowitz


Giri Devanur

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What’sApp….Should Apple stock surge?

Whats app got sold for a cool $19Billion to Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB).

But why should Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) stock jump?

There are some 450Million users of Whats App. So their CLTV (Customer lifetime value) works approximately $55/user.

Apple has SOLD at least 500Million+ iPhones. All of them comes installed with iMessage. And most users use this app anyway. And these are your users who pay $600-$700 per handset!!

So, shouldn’t the value of Apple change & go up by another cool $20Billion? I have not seen any research report which puts $20Billion value for iMessage.

Blackberry BBM = Please don’t Cry 🙁




Giri Devanur

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Change – How Netflix will dominate

I had predicted earlier that Netflix may lose out. That was in 2012. I was wrong on this prediction.

What a change 2 years can make!

Last few hours watched House of Cards – 2 on a binge. Frank Underwood will make NetFlix win!

Netflix will emerge as the unique leader of content creation and distribution. A feat very few cos in history have managed to acheive.

Is the netflix stock headed to $600. Double knock on the table!!

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Google and motorola

I had predicted that by 2015, google would sell Motorola by taking a $9.5Billion loss!!


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Some right..some close ..some way off

As we come close to the end of 2013..I wanted to look at my predictions for 2015. In 2011 I had made 10 predictions for 2015. (http://giridevanur.com/innovation/tech-predictions-for-2015)

Lets see how they have fared:

10. 3-D TV as a concept would have failed – Sony would be the hardest hit in this Does anyone want to sit at home and watch a serial or a News program on TV in 3D…its sounds almost crazy!!

Accurate. No major hits in this category.  

9. Peope will still be using Laptops and Desktops. Contrary to all the hype about iPads and tablets….users are still not so sure. iPads will rule the tablet market….but it wont kill the desk-top and laptop market…yet.

Accurate. I am still typing this article also on a computer.   

8. IBM will be the winner in Cloud computing. As cloud becomes more main-stream…you will differentiate men from Boys. IBM knows “how to run a data center” better than anyone on earth. So my bet is with IBM on this one.

 Partially right. Fierce fighting between Amazon and IBM is still on. I still think IBM may win this game. 

7. would have sold Motorola…after bleeding billions of dollars. Do we need an explanation for this one??  Tech world has a long history of these kinds of acquisitions having failed miserably.

Partially right.But so far no signs of great success from Google. 

6. would have sold or closed  after burning billions….!! Read the story above.

 Almost right. I haven’t heard any one buying a sun server these days!. 

5. NetFlix would be toast..Hard to pick one winner…it can be WalMart (yes WalMart!!) or a potential new service of .

Wrong. Netflix has fought back and others are decimated!. 

4. 4G/LTE Sim cards will be a raging hitWorld would have completely moved into this technology.My guess is atleast 1billion connections of 4G would happen by end of 2015.

Almost right. Its moving very fast.  

3. would be the world’s 3rd most valuable companyWalmart will be #1 and #2 may be ExxOn Mobil. I would personally like apple to be #1..but……

Apple and Exxon is fighting back and forth. Walmart is fighting with Google for 3rd spot!!. Which company will touch a 1 trillion market cap first ?:-) 

2.   may have lost its market cap by 50% or more…They would have crossed 1.5Billion registered users ….but will be losing a whole lot of users due to FB fatigue.

Accurate /2. It lost half is value after IPO. But has clawed back. The second part is almost true. Teenagers are deserting due to Levis Effect

1. will have beaten in search game. will be #1.

Absolutely wrong. Bing has not worked the way I thought it will change. 

I will write tech predictions for 2017 soon.

Wish you all a very Happy New Year!!


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2 interesting books

Just finished reading 2 interesting books:

1. On sales


When Philip Delves Broughton went to Harvard Business School, an experience he wrote about in hisNew York Times bestseller Ahead of the Curve, he was baffled to find that sales was not on the curriculum.  Why not, he wondered?  Sales plays a part in everything we do—not just in clinching a deal but in convincing people of an argument, getting a job, attracting a mate, or getting a child to eat his broccoli.  Well, he thought; he’d just have to assemble his own master class in the art of selling.  And so he did, setting out on a remarkable pilgrimage to find the world’s great wizards of sales.

2. On Big data

A revelatory exploration of the hottest trend in technology and the dramatic impact it will have on the economy, science, and society at large.

Which paint color is most likely to tell you that a used car is in good shape? How can officials identify the most dangerous New York City manholes before they explode? And how did Google searches predict the spread of the H1N1 flu outbreak?

The key to answering these questions, and many more, is big data. “Big data” refers to our burgeoning ability to crunch vast collections of information, analyze it instantly, and draw sometimes profoundly surprising conclusions from it. This emerging science can translate myriad phenomena—from the price of airline tickets to the text of millions of books—into searchable form, and uses our increasing computing power to unearth epiphanies that we never could have seen before. A revolution on par with the Internet or perhaps even the printing press, big data will change the way we think about business, health, politics, education, and innovation in the years to come. It also poses fresh threats, from the inevitable end of privacy as we know it to the prospect of being penalized for things we haven’t even done yet, based on big data’s ability to predict our future behavior.

In this brilliantly clear, often surprising work, two leading experts explain what big data is, how it will change our lives, and what we can do to protect ourselves from its hazards. Big Data is the first big book about the next big thing.





Giri Devanur


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